World Cup 2026World Cup 2026·25 Jun 2026 · 23:00 UTC

Tunisia vs Netherlands

Expert World Cup 2026 prediction with odds and match context.

Our pick
Tip
Home Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence
90%
Odds
1.01

Analysis

Why this pick

We are backing Tunisia under 2.5 team goals at 90% confidence. The selection is based on the matchup, available odds, and the expected game state.

Supporting data

Live form, H2H and injury data is limited for this fixture, so the pick should lean more on team quality, expected game state and market price.

Risk factors

Final lineups, late injuries, rotation, motivation and odds movement can change the value before kickoff.

This is a prediction, not a guarantee; stake responsibly and avoid chasing losses.

Betting note

The odds are fetched automatically from available bookmaker markets when the tip is published. If the price drops heavily before kickoff, the value may be lower than our original entry.

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Win probability

Model probability
Tunisia
0%
Draw
50%
Netherlands
50%

Standings

Group F
TeamMPWDLGFGAGDPtsLast 5
1Netherlands
211073+44
WD
2Japan
211062+44
WD
3Sweden
21016603
LW
4Tunisia
200219-80
LL
Qualification
Table context from the fixture competition
Last 5 matches
W winD drawL loss○ not played

iDecision guide

Market Context

Market angle: Tunisia under 2.5 goals. This focuses on one team's scoring output, so chance creation, opponent defensive profile and expected game state matter most.

Team Profile

Scoring profile: Tunisia 0.50 goals/g, Netherlands 3.50 goals/g. Defensive profile: Tunisia concede 4.50 goals/g, Netherlands concede 1.50 goals/g. Clean-sheet rate: Tunisia 0%, Netherlands 0%.

Recent Form

Recent form: Tunisia L-L; Netherlands D-W.

Risk Check

Football predictions are not guarantees. Check final lineups, late injuries, rotation, motivation, weather, and odds movement before staking.

📈Season form & averages

Tunisia
LL
Goals / game
0.50
Conceded / g
4.50
Clean sheet
0%
Failed to score
50%
Netherlands
DW
Goals / game
3.50
Conceded / g
1.50
Clean sheet
0%
Failed to score
0%

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